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      Welcome!   03/05/2016

      Welcome, everyone, to the new 910CMX Community Forums. I'm still working on getting them running, so things may change.  If you're a 910 Comic creator and need your forum recreated, let me know and I'll get on it right away.  I'll do my best to make this new place as fun as the last one!

malloyd

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Posts posted by malloyd


  1. 28 minutes ago, hkmaly said:

    The fact that it's not just any half-hour but New Year's midnight is another case like that - less likely to be random, but there may be actual reason why he may be trying for that time.

    Oddly that may make it less likely to be non-random, though Dan may or may not know that.  In the US anyway scheduled births, or ones that can reasonably be hastened or delayed a day, generally don't happen on holidays, to the extent that January 1 is the second least common birthday, following December 25 and followed by December 24 and July 4.  Birth rates for the entire two week period from the end of December to the beginning of January is actually noticeably depressed, as is the week Thanksgiving will fall in in late November. 


  2. 1 hour ago, skington said:

    That's two wildly implausible theories that we've had from Mr Verres in quick succession.

    Firstly: Susan and Diane are half-sisters, which would require Susan's cheating father to have got two unrelated women pregnant within days, and for either (1) the two mothers to be so biologically similar that they each gave birth only moments apart, despite 40 weeks' worth of pregnancy, or (2) that despite different pregnancies, they gave birth only moments part anyway (e.g. one was late, the other was induced etc. and it all magically aligned).

    Secondly: if anyone accurately heard Colonel Sanders saying "Elliot Dunkel", they'll assume that because Elliot's a boy and Cheerleadra is a girl, there must be some unrelated girl who's also called Elliot Dunkel.

    For the first, pregnancy timing is simply not that tightly constrained - *normal* variation is 5 weeks.

    For the second, I actually think he's right on the psychology of that for anybody who doesn't actually know Elliot.  Counting the indistinguishable "Eliot", it's actually more common as a female name than a male one in US census data (breaks 57/43 for Elliot, Eliot breaks 30/70 and is about as common), so most people would start off assuming girl even in complete isolation.  And while it's true we don't know of anybody with the same last name around here, living somewhere in the vicinity of where their families settled is pretty normal.  There are lots of people around here with my last name who are probably related somehow but I have no real idea how.  For anyone doing a search, Dunkle is more than twice as common as Dunkel, so they may well be starting with both names wrong.  The major hole is that a lot of people in this town *do* know Elliot by name already.  For anybody outside Moperville, Edward is probably right, but then my impression is most people outside Moperville pretty much dismiss news from it as nonsense anyway.

     


  3. 2 hours ago, Tom Sewell said:

    Of course, this doesn't cover the interesting factoid that "classic Cheerleadra" looks like Ellen. Do you think there could have been any students from Moperville South at the mall who maybe thought Floating Jesus said "Ellen Dunkel"?

    That seems pretty likely really.  Edward has a real point about poor acoustics and background noise.  Between that and nobody likely to be standing real close to a fight between a superhero and a monster, and neither Elliot or Dunkel being exactly common names.  I wouldn't be too startled if the press were currently all camped out in front of the house of somebody names Leah Duncan, because her Facebook page shows her with pink hair.

     


  4. 7 hours ago, EmpactWB said:

    Fairly mundane speculation, but does anyone else think that Nanase's mother focuses so much on Nanase's eventual family role as a result of Noriko's split with Edward?

    I'd have say if anything the other way around, Noriko split from Edward for the same kind of family reasons her sister cares about.

    Come to think of it, do any of the main characters actually know magic runs in families?  We do, and some of the adults clearly do, but has anybody made it clear to any of them?  They seem oddly incurious about their relatives experiences with magic and unwilling to talk about their own if they do know.


  5. 2 hours ago, mlooney said:

    Yellowstone blowing up is about the only thing higher.  Well maybe an dinosaurs killing level astroide strike.

    Given all the population clustered on the coasts, there are mega tsunami scenarios, either from collapsing underwater volcanos or ocean meteor strikes, that could be probably kill more people than New Madrid or a record setting California quake without being in extinction risk category. 


  6. 18 hours ago, Tom Sewell said:

    Doing a DNA comparison between Susan and Diane would be comparatively easy. Mitochondrial DNA is easier to check; it should show if they have the same egg-mother.

    It generally wouldn't.  People expect a lot more from genetic testing than it can deliver.  Places offering to find your relatives from mitochondrial or Y-chromosome samples are exaggerating a lot, or outright scams.

    Mitochondrial DNA doesn't change that fast.  If you aren't a mutant (and you probably aren't) you have the same mitochondria as any other children of your mother (and the children of those of them that are girls).  Likewise your mother likely wasn't a mutant either, so you have the same mitochondria as your maternal grandmother and female line aunts, first cousins and first cousins removed descended from her.  Repeat for your grandmother and more distant cousins back to whoever was the last mutant.  In a matrilocal culture it wouldn't be too astonishing if most of the woman in the village to had the same mitochondrial DNA.

     


  7. 2 hours ago, CritterKeeper said:

    Hmm, it likely depends on the test(s) being run.  I know when we did PCR tests in chem lab, we had to set up the gels, and then it physically took a certain amount of time for the molecules to move across them.  At least overnight, possibly later in the week or even the next week, I honestly don't recall now.  I don't know what sort of advances have been made since then, but I suspect for a proper comparison it would be more like days than hours.

    It's not going to change much, it's a physical limit set by molecule size and how much voltage or solvent flow you can apply without destroying anything.  Depends on the test though.  The sample definitely lacks a particular marker might be something you can do in a day, or a comparison to say these samples aren't from something of the same genus.  If you want a subtle test like degree of kinship, 3 or 4 days is about the fastest you can hope for. 

    Incidentally this wouldn't be very definitive among many of the options proposed on this thread.  Tests on siblings are going to be somewhat ambiguous.  A clear distinction between sisters, half sisters or first cousins is probably something no responsible lab will commit to very strongly.  It is after all theoretically possible to have only one chromosomes in common with a full sibling of the same sex, and none at all with one of the other.  Sure, not likely but possible.  A distinction between full sisters and children whose parents are twins or otherwise clones is outright impossible.


  8. 12 hours ago, hkmaly said:

    I think there are not many parents who would know for sure when the conception happened.

    Also ... isn't the phase of menstruation cycle more important than when exactly was the sex? I read somewhere that sperm can wait for the egg for few days ... actually, 3-5 days. With no effect on when the child will be born.

    This is why you figure delivery dates as 280 days from the beginning of your last menstrual period, as the closest thing to a hard number you are going to be able to determine.  I understand there are studies using blood hormone levels to time implantation that maybe take a day off the average variability, but given that the variation is so high anyway and almost nobody is going to be taking daily blood tests in the first place that's more an interesting factoid than clinically useful information.

     


  9. 1 hour ago, Scotty said:

    I think Edward would want to avoid pushing them too hard though, Adrian apparently did that with him and Noriko and look what happened there.

    I don't think he needs to push either Super-Elliot or Ellen and Nanase girl detectives very hard.  Tedd's definitely not the field op type though.  I don't really know what motivates Grace, it may well be changing as she catches up on the socialization she missed out on growing up a caged lab experiment, though I suspect she's stuck to Tedd by authorial fiat regardless.


  10. 7 hours ago, Scotty said:

    I was basing it on the fact that I was supposed to be due April 27th, but ended up being born May 18th, mind you, I don't think doctors will allow expecting mothers to go that long past the due date these days, maybe a week tops.

    Looking around a bit, the current accepted figure for "normal" variation seems to be 5 weeks, so plus or minus about 18 days.  It might be time to start thinking about intervention at 21, but I'd be surprised if many doctors would do it quite yet absent some other risk factor.  You'd think this would be something there was mountains of data on (it's not like having a baby is a rare medical condition!), but there don't seem to be a lot of actual evidence based studies.


  11. On ‎8‎/‎11‎/‎2016 at 2:40 AM, Arcanimus said:

    My suspicion grows that Tedd is the Magic Emissary. I suspect that the "whales" were magic itself granting the spell and an awareness of the buildup in a semi-believable manner. I suppose this belongs more in a "wild theory" thread, but my search-fu has failed me.

    The "whale" is clearly one of the whale avatars of Ebisu, the kami Tara expected Nanase to be the hime-miko of, who'd thus naturally be interested in Tedd as part of his priestly family.

    Well OK, probably not, Dan has moved away from anime and Japanese culture references a bit, but at one time I think that could have been a serious theory here.

     


  12. 57 minutes ago, Scotty said:

    Hmm...so here's a thought, Diane and Susan were born 20 minutes apart, that suggests they were conceived on the same day 9 months earlier

    You aren't a parent are you?  The estimated birth date the doctor gives you is the midpoint of a two week range, and there's probably a 25% chance the birth will be outside that window.  Being born on the same day doesn't guarantee you were conceived in the same *month* let alone the same day.

     


  13. 40 minutes ago, Aura Guardian said:

    On the grounds that Jerry might not have thought "half" was a good idea to mention, I'll STILL refrain from the speculation, but I'm glad that at least "half-sister" is on the table.

    Really "half" isn't worth mentioning.  People get into really odd arguments about kinship terms. They're not usually technical vocabulary.  Most languages are perfectly willing to let you use "sister" for any female relative or close friend of about your generation.  Even in English there are plenty of people who use it for women belonging to my church, or even of the same race.

     


  14. 20 hours ago, chridd said:
    • There are two different possible ways the diamond could produce a copy of something: either Susan or Diane touched the diamond (problem: what is the curse?), OR someone could have used a Susan/Diane clone form and then touched the diamond (problem: how do we account for the magic affinity?). It's also possible that BOTH of them are duplicates made by the diamond, but then you'd have to account for the hospital records somehow.

    Third option, their pregnant mother was cursed and touched the diamond.  For added plot convolution, the "other woman" is the separated cursed form or vice versa.

     


  15. On ‎8‎/‎8‎/‎2016 at 6:52 PM, CritterKeeper said:

    Mosquitoes are parasites -- they take blood, and the host does not benefit in any known way from the relationship.  They're not predators because they don't kill the host (at least not directly, the diseases they can carry are another matter).  

    Clearly we need to get some mad scientists at work on breeding mosquitos that are pack hunters. 

    And surely by now some villain in literature somewhere has used throwing the hero into a box with half a million starving mosquitos as a death trap.


  16. On ‎8‎/‎8‎/‎2016 at 0:59 PM, exterminator said:

    What if The Will of MagicTM is working in a limited energy system?

    There are far fewer ways of creating magic energy that there are ways to burn it. What happens when you have a lot more people burning energy that you have ways to create it? That you eventually run off of energy. And if we add that TWoM may depend of that energy to just exist, then I see why it goes out of its way to keep a reduced number of users. Every time there are more people burning energy that energy is produced, it has the danger of dying, so he changes the rules about what can burn magic energy, buying itself time to replenish it, and going back to a sustainable number of magic users.

    It's more logical than magic is a hipster anyway.  Strategically though, what it ought to do is let people find out all about magic, but change the rules just enough that it's difficult for anybody to pull in enough energy to do anything.  Then wait for somebody to develop necronium fission NEMA reactors or a process for turning sunlight into liquid magic fuel so they can do something useful with it, and expand the energy available for you too.  Hm, maybe worlds that have built entire technologies around magic are the ones where the local Magic God figured that out.


  17. 8 hours ago, animalia said:

    If Physics acted like Magic does (i.e., anytime a significant amount of belief/understanding started to get made the rules would reset) humanity wouldn't make much progress.

    You haven't heard the joke about what happens to physicists when they die?  The get the job of changing the laws of the universe whenever someone successfully understands one to make them more complex, but without contradicting the results of any previous experiments.

     


  18. On ‎8‎/‎6‎/‎2016 at 6:58 PM, Scotty said:

    9:Probably because he didn't tell all the women about the hammer spell, he made it available which was well within the "guide and empower" rules, but not all women would know, or even explain how they could do it if they were able to use them, considering he was 75, which would have been 133 years ago at the time Susan met Jerry, it's possible that after a brief period of use, the novelty wore off and the fact that women could summon hammers was pretty much forgotten aside for maybe finding it's way into cartoons (might have been the inspiration for the hammerspace trope). So Magic likely didn't worry about the hammers drawing attention to magic.

    Another possibility is that "Magic Itself" doesn't actually exist, Disco Wizard is being led on by somebody else, and the reason the rules of magic changed in the past is unrelated.  Seriously given that there are entire species, alien worlds, the "other side" of this one, and entire alternate universes where magic is apparently common knowledge, "Magic Itself" clearly has no such issues.  "Magic of Terran Humans On This Side of the World", maybe.

     


  19. 6 hours ago, Scotty said:

    Despite what Pandora said about what could happen if Sarah told Edward about the mark and spell, I'd think Edward would still do his best to protect her.

    I'm inclined to think Pandora is exaggerating a bit too.  This is basically a clairvoyance spell with some limitations.  Given that it isn't unique, is fairly useful even with its limitations, and wizards can learn spells from watching them cast, there are presumably quite a few people with it, unless there is a better version with fewer limits.  Edward may be able to cast it himself.  Since wizards apparently can keep secrets from each other anyway, there are presumably also defenses.  It's a security risk in a way, but hardly the only, or the worst, one magic opens up.

     


  20. 6 hours ago, The Old Hack said:

    Good Lord, the TRS-80s! I remember these. I once had a Tandy Whiz Kids comic advertising the darn things. (I wonder if my iPad Air 2 stands up to that Cray XMP?)

    I still want Ashley to reappear as the topic in her own thread, so now I wonder if she likes computers and if she has an iPad. I think she at least may have a smartphone, but whether it is an iPhone, who knows.

    Are there teenagers in the First World who *don't* have a smart phone?  Elementary kids do their homework on tablets around here - the online assignments are required, I'm told by the nearby kid that they're 35% of her grade this year (for 3rd grade).  We dinosaurs who lived before PCs and cell phones were invented and still consider them luxuries and not necessities are behind the curve.


  21. 14 hours ago, CritterKeeper said:

    Now, my iPad is probably far more powerful a computer than the Cray XMP they used to do the special effects in The Last Starfighter, then referred to as a "supercomputer."  Thank you, Science, for bringing us such miracles! :-)

    Maybe not quite.  The XMP advertising brags about 400 million floating point operations per second, which the iPad doesn't unambiguously beat until the iPad4, and IIRC later versions were available with additional cores, which would raise that some. 

    Did you have the accelerator for the TRS-80 cassettes?  1800 bits per second, wow, 16 times the speed of a teletype line.

     

     

     


  22. On ‎7‎/‎25‎/‎2016 at 3:31 PM, mlooney said:

    Well, there is their name.  I, in general, would assume that something called immortals would be, well, you know immortal, as in not dying. 

     

    I don't know why.  How many of them do you think volunteered for extensive tests to see if something will successfully kill them?  And they've had the name a long time, so even that wouldn't be all that conclusive.  Things change.  "No weapon forged can stop me!  What's that do?"

     


  23. On ‎7‎/‎19‎/‎2016 at 11:18 AM, Don Edwards said:

    Given that "Sisters 3" begins with such a heavy emphasis on the origin story of Crazy!Pandora and Raven, it's extremely likely that one or the other of them will have a sister show up.

    But not certain.

    If so I bet Raven's.  With family.  It strikes me as potentially significant that in the discussion of disguising Grace as his niece she immediately jumped to asking about his possible children, without determining if he actually has a niece.  He might well have one who looks just like the disguise, know it, and been more than happy to introduce Grace to her if she'd asked.